Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.614078e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008
2025-06-22 3.880656e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010
2025-06-29 3.393601e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011
2025-07-06 2.975382e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013
2025-07-13 2.695231e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000015
2025-07-20 2.491396e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017
2025-07-27 2.299996e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020
2025-08-03 2.156444e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023
2025-08-10 2.006168e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027
2025-08-17 1.891469e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000031
2025-08-24 1.747643e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000033
2025-08-31 1.652986e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000038
2025-09-07 1.567100e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000044
2025-09-14 1.461580e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000048
2025-09-21 1.380600e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000055
2025-09-28 1.293135e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000060
2025-10-05 1.233985e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000068
2025-10-12 1.190340e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000026 0.000080
2025-10-19 1.141714e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000028 0.000092
2025-10-26 1.105070e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000031 0.000109
2025-11-02 1.059212e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000033 0.000124
2025-11-09 1.024019e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000145
2025-11-16 9.707584e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000036 0.000157